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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.53+3.41vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79-0.13vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43+1.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59-1.86vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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2.87Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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5.28Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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3.14Dartmouth College1.590.2%1st Place
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4.74Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.6University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Ella Towner | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 6.4% |
| Everett Nash | 27.2% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 5.9% |
| Ben Sheppard | 24.5% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 3.2% |
| Sam Harris | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 7.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 67.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.