Race 2A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ella Towner 8.0% 8.2% 10.7% 10.6% 11.8% 14.5% 17.5% 14.1% 4.6%
Everett Nash 23.5% 25.0% 17.0% 14.6% 9.9% 5.4% 2.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Ben Sheppard 24.0% 18.2% 17.5% 15.1% 10.8% 8.4% 3.7% 2.2% 0.1%
Sam Harris 6.4% 7.3% 9.4% 10.9% 11.5% 15.9% 13.6% 17.6% 7.4%
Ted Lutton 12.5% 15.9% 15.7% 11.1% 13.0% 11.5% 10.5% 7.4% 2.4%
Henri Richardsson 9.9% 10.1% 12.0% 13.6% 14.3% 12.6% 13.8% 10.2% 3.5%
Walter Chiles 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 11.9% 13.9% 14.8% 15.3% 16.4% 6.1%
Andy Giaya 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 12.6% 67.7%
Luke Kenahan 7.4% 7.0% 7.6% 10.1% 12.0% 12.7% 17.4% 17.8% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.