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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+7.44vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+5.33vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+7.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+3.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.85+2.37vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.68-1.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.72vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+1.95vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-3.33vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.08+4.18vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-3.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52+0.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-4.17vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.86-7.01vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-4.23vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.26-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.5%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.3%1st Place
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10.66Eckerd College0.853.5%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.8%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University1.857.8%1st Place
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4.65Tulane University2.6816.3%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy2.2811.2%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University1.444.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University2.4013.6%1st Place
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14.18Webb Institute-0.081.4%1st Place
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9.69University of Pennsylvania1.583.8%1st Place
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7.89Cornell University1.796.6%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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14.33Connecticut College0.521.2%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.864.5%1st Place
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12.77Florida State University0.371.8%1st Place
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15.0University of Michigan-0.260.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.