Race 1A

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zachary Amelotte 16.9% 18.8% 18.1% 16.9% 13.0% 8.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Potter 34.5% 26.2% 17.5% 11.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 4.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.8% 12.3% 13.9% 17.4% 16.7% 10.1% 3.0%
Rob Mailley 11.8% 10.6% 14.1% 15.1% 15.8% 14.4% 11.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Walter Chiles 13.8% 15.2% 17.1% 15.3% 15.0% 11.4% 7.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 9.8% 11.9% 12.1% 14.1% 16.0% 15.7% 11.7% 6.6% 2.0% 0.2%
William Procter 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 9.1% 10.1% 15.2% 16.5% 19.6% 11.7% 2.5%
Dalyan Yet 2.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 9.2% 15.8% 22.6% 18.3% 11.2%
Aric Duncan 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 4.0% 6.9% 11.2% 27.6% 41.8%
Colin Sueyoshi 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.5% 6.6% 12.0% 27.5% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.