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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+4.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+0.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.86+6.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+2.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+1.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.00vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90-1.54vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-4.20vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.76-2.83vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.15+1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.25-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-3.08vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.89-4.04vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.64-1.27vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.91-2.95vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.69-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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3.77Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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13.61Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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10.96Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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14.73Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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14.05Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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16.43Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 20.8% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Taylor | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 7.5% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 17.2% |
| Colin Feik | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.