Race 3A

callagy-ross

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Sheppard 23.4% 19.4% 16.5% 16.0% 11.2% 7.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Sam Harris 4.8% 5.9% 7.5% 10.2% 10.5% 14.9% 18.5% 20.5% 7.2%
Ted Lutton 11.5% 12.2% 14.4% 14.7% 13.4% 13.2% 11.2% 7.9% 1.5%
Ella Towner 7.3% 11.0% 10.1% 11.3% 13.9% 13.3% 15.6% 12.8% 4.7%
Walter Chiles 7.9% 8.2% 11.2% 10.2% 12.3% 13.5% 14.5% 15.3% 6.9%
Henri Richardsson 9.3% 12.3% 11.2% 13.0% 14.0% 14.3% 13.8% 9.4% 2.7%
Andy Giaya 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 3.3% 6.8% 13.0% 67.3%
Luke Kenahan 6.9% 7.0% 8.6% 10.1% 11.8% 14.3% 13.3% 18.5% 9.5%
Everett Nash 27.9% 22.2% 18.3% 12.3% 10.5% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.