Race 4A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Sheppard 21.9% 21.3% 15.9% 15.0% 10.6% 8.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Charles Morris 8.3% 9.1% 12.5% 13.0% 14.0% 16.3% 11.5% 11.4% 3.9%
Ted Lutton 11.1% 12.3% 13.8% 13.3% 14.8% 11.9% 12.6% 8.7% 1.5%
Luke Kenahan 6.0% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 11.0% 13.5% 15.7% 19.3% 7.2%
Walter Chiles 7.1% 9.4% 10.3% 10.8% 11.1% 12.9% 14.5% 16.8% 7.1%
Sam Harris 6.4% 6.8% 8.3% 9.4% 11.0% 14.8% 16.9% 18.6% 7.8%
Henri Richardsson 9.4% 10.5% 10.6% 12.1% 15.1% 13.7% 14.8% 11.1% 2.7%
Andy Giaya 1.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 3.8% 6.4% 10.9% 69.2%
Everett Nash 28.0% 21.4% 17.5% 14.1% 9.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.