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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.81+2.66vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+1.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.49vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.31vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-1.64vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.59-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.33Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.51University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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4.69Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.36Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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3.1Dartmouth College1.590.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 26.6% | 25.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Charles Morris | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Sam Harris | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 24.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Ben Sheppard | 23.6% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.