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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+1.82vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.81+1.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.59-0.81vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.26vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-0.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.35-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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4.33Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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3.19Dartmouth College1.590.2%1st Place
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4.74Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.33Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 27.9% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ted Lutton | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Charles Morris | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 22.4% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 22.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 25.6% |
| Sam Harris | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.