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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+3.28vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.81+1.65vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.59-2.82vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.35-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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2.89Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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4.65University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.72Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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3.18Dartmouth College1.590.2%1st Place
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5.39Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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5.38University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Everett Nash | 26.8% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Charles Morris | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 23.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 22.1% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Walter Chiles | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| Sam Harris | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.