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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.35vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+0.75vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.08vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.21+0.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.40-0.23vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-2.71+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.39-2.20vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.75Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.49Colgate University-1.210.1%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University-1.400.1%1st Place
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6.5Hamilton College-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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7.26Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 35.2% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 24.9% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 18.9% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Pearlson | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Braden Haulman | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 22.6% | 13.9% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Patterson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 35.6% | 28.7% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 14.6% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 22.7% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.