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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.22vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.95vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03-0.41vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.21+0.20vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-2.71+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.39-1.61vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.00vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-3.00-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.95Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.59Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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4.2Colgate University-1.210.1%1st Place
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6.2Hamilton College-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
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7.0Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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6.46Syracuse University-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 36.9% | 27.7% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 19.8% | 21.3% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 25.7% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 6.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 25.5% | 15.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Patterson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 24.4% | 31.0% | 19.5% |
| Kasym Qazi | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 17.4% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 23.3% | 51.9% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 23.7% | 32.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.