← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.25vs Predicted
-
2Colgate University-1.21+2.18vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.11vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.03-1.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-1.39-0.54vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-2.71+0.16vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-3.00-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
-
4.18Colgate University-1.210.1%1st Place
-
2.89Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
-
2.57Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
-
4.46University of Rochester-1.390.1%1st Place
-
6.16Hamilton College-2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.54Syracuse University-3.000.0%1st Place
-
6.95Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 36.5% | 26.1% | 20.6% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Cole Bender | 19.5% | 23.3% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 26.4% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 15.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kasym Qazi | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Patterson | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 24.9% | 29.5% | 19.4% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 29.8% | 32.3% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 15.2% | 26.7% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.