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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+1.51vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.03+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.18+0.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College-0.27+0.39vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.35-0.57vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.42+0.15vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.69-0.99vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-2.68-0.55vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-2.77-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Vermont0.7233.6%1st Place
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3.82Middlebury College0.0315.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Vermont0.1816.9%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College-0.2710.4%1st Place
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4.43Amherst College-0.3512.2%1st Place
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6.15Middlebury College-1.423.8%1st Place
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5.99Williams College-0.904.0%1st Place
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7.01Middlebury College-1.692.1%1st Place
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8.45Amherst College-2.681.0%1st Place
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8.68Middlebury College-2.770.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Potter | 33.6% | 25.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Walter Chiles | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Zachary Amelotte | 16.9% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Rob Mailley | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Nat Edmonds | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
William Procter | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
Felix Nusbaum | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
Dalyan Yet | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 9.3% |
Colin Sueyoshi | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 29.4% | 36.9% |
Aric Duncan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 26.2% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.