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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.53+2.28vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-3.01+2.95vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.89-1.59vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.07-2.24vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.84-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.95Hamilton College-3.010.0%1st Place
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2.74Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.2%1st Place
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2.41University of Rochester-0.890.3%1st Place
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2.76Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.86Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin DeLessio | 15.0% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 5.9% |
| Alexander Levine | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 26.1% | 47.8% |
| Elliot Tindall | 23.0% | 24.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Abby Eckert | 31.6% | 23.9% | 24.0% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Nill | 23.7% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 32.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.