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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.58vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.53+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89-0.70vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-1.38vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-3.01-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Penn State Behrend-1.070.3%1st Place
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3.04Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Rochester-0.890.3%1st Place
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2.62Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.2%1st Place
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4.45Hamilton College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 25.1% | 24.6% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 7.7% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 14.8% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 31.5% | 11.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 32.5% | 27.3% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 3.4% |
| Elliot Tindall | 24.5% | 23.7% | 23.7% | 21.9% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Levine | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.