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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.18+2.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College-0.27+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72-0.50vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03-0.08vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.35-0.53vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90-0.05vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.42-0.91vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.69-1.10vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-2.68-0.53vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-2.77-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Vermont0.1817.1%1st Place
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4.47Dartmouth College-0.2710.0%1st Place
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2.5University of Vermont0.7233.9%1st Place
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3.92Middlebury College0.0313.4%1st Place
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4.47Amherst College-0.3510.1%1st Place
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5.95Williams College-0.905.5%1st Place
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6.09Middlebury College-1.424.2%1st Place
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6.9Middlebury College-1.694.0%1st Place
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8.47Amherst College-2.681.1%1st Place
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8.71Middlebury College-2.770.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Zachary Amelotte | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Rob Mailley | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Ryan Potter | 33.9% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Walter Chiles | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Nat Edmonds | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Felix Nusbaum | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
William Procter | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
Dalyan Yet | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
Colin Sueyoshi | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 27.5% | 40.1% |
Aric Duncan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 26.5% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.