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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+4.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+0.79vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+3.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+1.11vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.15+7.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+0.98vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71+0.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.89+1.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-4.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.99vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.25-0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-3.18vs Predicted
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15Ohio State University0.69+1.51vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.91-1.91vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.64-2.25vs Predicted
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18University of Florida2.84-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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3.79Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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6.11College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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13.36Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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8.09Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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5.84Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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16.51Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.09Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.75Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.8% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 6.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Fred Strammer | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 55.9% |
| Colin Feik | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 11.7% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 17.1% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.