← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.26vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend-1.07+0.62vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.89-0.56vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.53-0.85vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-5.85+0.93vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-3.01-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.3%1st Place
-
2.62Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
-
2.44University of Rochester-0.890.3%1st Place
-
3.15Syracuse University-1.530.1%1st Place
-
5.93Syracuse University-5.850.0%1st Place
-
4.6Hamilton College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 32.0% | 29.4% | 22.1% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 24.0% | 24.2% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 27.0% | 26.4% | 26.4% | 15.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 14.3% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 35.5% | 12.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabriella Maldonado | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 3.8% | 95.1% |
| Alexander Levine | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 70.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.