Race 1 - eagle-invite | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.8

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

+1.10

vs Predicted
2

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

+0.64

vs Predicted
3

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

+0.27

vs Predicted
4

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

-0.77

vs Predicted
5

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

-1.24

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.1

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

0.4%

1st Place
2.64

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

0.2%

1st Place
3.27

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

0.1%

1st Place
3.23

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

0.1%

1st Place
3.76

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Zoey Ziskind	40.4%	27.4%	18.1%	9.6%	4.5%
Lucy Meagher	23.7%	25.9%	22.6%	18.6%	9.2%
Henry Scholz	13.6%	16.0%	22.2%	26.1%	22.1%
Ethan Danielson	13.6%	18.4%	22.6%	22.6%	22.8%
Peter Taboada	8.7%	12.3%	14.5%	23.1%	41.4%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.