Race 2 - eagle-invite | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

+1.65

vs Predicted
2

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

+0.06

vs Predicted
4

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

-0.81

vs Predicted
5

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

-1.70

vs Predicted
6

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

-2.21

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.65

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

0.3%

1st Place
2.06

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

0.4%

1st Place
3.19

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

0.1%

1st Place
3.3

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

0.1%

1st Place
3.79

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Lucy Meagher	25.1%	24.0%	23.3%	15.7%	11.9%
Zoey Ziskind	40.5%	28.1%	19.2%	9.0%	3.2%
Ethan Danielson	14.1%	18.1%	22.1%	26.0%	19.7%
Henry Scholz	11.8%	18.1%	21.6%	25.1%	23.4%
Peter Taboada	8.5%	11.7%	13.8%	24.2%	41.8%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.