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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+1.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+0.64vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.50-0.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.09-1.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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2.64Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.29Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 40.4% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 23.7% | 25.2% | 23.6% | 18.3% | 9.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 25.8% | 23.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 7.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 41.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 14.4% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 24.5% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.