Race 4 - eagle-invite | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.7

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

+2.22

vs Predicted
2

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

+0.66

vs Predicted
3

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

+0.77

vs Predicted
4

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

-1.92

vs Predicted
6

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

-2.73

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.22

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

0.1%

1st Place
2.66

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

0.2%

1st Place
3.77

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

0.1%

1st Place
2.08

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

0.4%

1st Place
3.27

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Ethan Danielson	14.7%	17.8%	21.8%	22.4%	23.3%
Lucy Meagher	22.1%	26.9%	23.6%	18.0%	9.4%
Peter Taboada	8.3%	12.0%	15.2%	23.3%	41.2%
Zoey Ziskind	41.0%	26.5%	19.7%	9.0%	3.8%
Henry Scholz	13.9%	16.8%	19.7%	27.3%	22.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.