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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University2.06+0.64vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.09+0.79vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56-1.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.57-1.81vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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2.07Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.19Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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3.31Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 25.0% | 25.4% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 7.8% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 40.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 41.9% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 12.6% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 24.3% | 20.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 12.7% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.