Race 8 - eagle-invite | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

2

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

+0.64

vs Predicted
3

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

-0.93

vs Predicted
4

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

-0.80

vs Predicted
5

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

-1.23

vs Predicted
6

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

-2.68

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.64

Lucy Meagher & Reid Nelson

Roger Williams University

2.06

0.2%

1st Place
2.07

Zoey Ziskind & Daniella Bregman

Harvard University

2.56

0.4%

1st Place
3.2

Ethan Danielson & Posie Cabaniss

Bowdoin College

1.57

0.1%

1st Place
3.77

Peter Taboada & Hala Gilbert

Northeastern University

1.09

0.1%

1st Place
3.32

Henry Scholz & Finley Regan

Connecticut College

1.50

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Lucy Meagher	24.9%	24.5%	22.6%	17.9%	10.1%
Zoey Ziskind	40.3%	28.2%	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%
Ethan Danielson	13.8%	18.6%	21.4%	25.8%	20.4%
Peter Taboada	7.6%	12.4%	16.2%	22.5%	41.3%
Henry Scholz	13.4%	16.3%	21.0%	23.9%	25.4%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.