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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+2.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+5.34vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+1.44vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+2.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.49-1.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.34-2.00vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90-1.52vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.89+1.15vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.15+2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.86-0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.25-0.16vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-3.10vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-6.87vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.91-1.99vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.49-1.97vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University0.69-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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11.15Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.31Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.01Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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15.03Tulane University1.490.0%1st Place
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16.4Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 20.4% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 4.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Eyring | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 18.9% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.