Race 4A

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Amelotte 17.8% 16.6% 17.8% 14.8% 12.7% 9.7% 6.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Felix Nusbaum 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 7.4% 9.3% 12.8% 14.2% 15.7% 13.0% 9.3% 3.0%
Katherine Weaver 3.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 9.2% 10.8% 14.8% 16.3% 16.4% 8.9% 3.2%
Rob Mailley 10.7% 12.2% 13.0% 13.1% 14.9% 13.5% 10.4% 7.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Potter 31.6% 24.1% 17.5% 13.0% 7.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nat Edmonds 10.1% 11.0% 11.9% 12.8% 14.4% 14.2% 11.8% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4%
William Procter 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 8.8% 10.3% 13.4% 17.0% 14.1% 10.5% 2.9%
Walter Chiles 12.8% 16.9% 16.7% 15.6% 13.8% 10.8% 7.7% 3.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Dalyan Yet 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 10.4% 15.0% 20.8% 18.2% 9.3%
Aric Duncan 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 4.5% 7.2% 10.9% 24.1% 44.1%
Colin Sueyoshi 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 4.3% 5.2% 8.1% 13.6% 24.9% 36.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.