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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+1.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+0.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.57+0.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.50-1.70vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.09-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Roger Williams University2.060.3%1st Place
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2.06Harvard University2.560.4%1st Place
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3.19Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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3.3Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 25.1% | 24.0% | 23.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 40.5% | 28.1% | 19.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 14.1% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 26.0% | 19.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 11.8% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 25.1% | 23.4% |
| Peter Taboada | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 24.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.