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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.07vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91+5.71vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39-1.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.25+2.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+4.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-1.50vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.69+2.15vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-3.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-3.98vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.87-1.86vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.84-2.86vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.28-5.44vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.00-9.77vs Predicted
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20Tufts University0.93-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.07Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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12.63Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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15.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.15Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.65Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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14.14Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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14.14Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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12.56Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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14.09Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 22.5% |
| Jack Flores | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| Connor Macken | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Peter Schnell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.