← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.25+11.62vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+5.62vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.93+11.02vs Predicted
-
4Olin College of Engineering0.87+10.18vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.67+1.45vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.45+1.41vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.03-1.64vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.39-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.69+1.60vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.71vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.29-2.85vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.77-1.39vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.99vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.91-4.31vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.84-0.77vs Predicted
-
16Brown University1.28-3.57vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-6.03vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University0.69-3.08vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-3.83vs Predicted
-
20Northeastern University2.00-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.62Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
14.02Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
-
14.18Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
-
6.45Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.41Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.36Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.4Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
10.6Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
-
8.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.61Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
-
14.23Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.43Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
14.92Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
15.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.45Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 20.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.