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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+6.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+5.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+2.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+5.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.84+8.45vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.00+2.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93+5.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45-1.81vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-1.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-0.30vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.25+0.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.28-0.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.27vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.67-8.49vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.87-1.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-6.10vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.91-8.22vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-3.94vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University0.69-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.45Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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13.82Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.7Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.8Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.8Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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14.08Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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15.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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15.0Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Henry Lee | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 19.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.