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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.39+6.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.22vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+4.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+3.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91+3.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.84+7.59vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.67-1.66vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69+5.82vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.87+4.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-0.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-1.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.00-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.95vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.29-6.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-0.85vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.93-3.18vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-7.20vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.28-6.65vs Predicted
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20Boston University1.25-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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14.59Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.34Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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14.82Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.18Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.86Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.07Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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15.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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13.82Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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12.35Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.78Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Jack Flores | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Macken | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 21.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.