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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+5.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19-1.34vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.52-0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69+0.17vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-3.49vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-1.60vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.49+3.97vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.91+2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.86-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-3.09vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.15-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.25-2.93vs Predicted
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17Ohio State University0.69-0.47vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.89-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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3.66Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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14.97Tulane University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.19Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.3Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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16.53Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.84Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 23.8% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Eyring | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 20.1% |
| Colin Feik | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 56.8% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.