Race 1B

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 20.0% 20.3% 20.1% 15.9% 12.2% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Maddy Saffer 40.6% 27.9% 16.9% 8.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Augspurger 7.8% 8.8% 11.5% 14.9% 16.7% 15.8% 11.8% 7.2% 4.5% 1.1%
Rem Johannknecht 4.6% 8.5% 8.6% 13.0% 14.0% 15.7% 13.4% 12.0% 7.3% 2.9%
Adrian Whitney 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 7.2% 9.1% 11.6% 13.0% 15.4% 17.2% 14.9%
Clare Rados 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 8.9% 11.8% 14.6% 15.3% 16.1% 14.6%
Ella Towner 14.9% 17.1% 18.4% 16.9% 14.2% 9.9% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Aidan Ulian 2.0% 3.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 10.4% 13.5% 15.7% 20.5% 15.7%
Nick Brodie 2.8% 4.0% 5.9% 7.0% 9.4% 10.6% 15.0% 17.7% 15.3% 12.3%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.3% 5.0% 6.2% 9.8% 12.8% 17.6% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.