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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+9.73vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+7.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+1.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+0.56vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+1.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.28+4.30vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39-1.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.84+4.34vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-1.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.91-2.91vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-1.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-6.66vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-5.94vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.95vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.87-4.84vs Predicted
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20Tufts University1.48-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.83Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.3Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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14.34Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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12.56Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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15.05Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.16Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Henry Lee | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 23.4% |
| Andy Yu | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 20.2% |
| Peter Schnell | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% |
| Courtland Doyle | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.