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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.91+7.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+3.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.39+3.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+2.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+4.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.56vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00+0.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.25+2.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.84+3.39vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.87+2.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.48-1.04vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-6.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-6.60vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.19vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.29-9.88vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.69-8.36vs Predicted
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20Brown University1.28-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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12.74Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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14.39Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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14.43Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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14.81Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.12Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.64Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.62Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| Courtland Doyle | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 24.6% |
| Andy Yu | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 17.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.