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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.91+7.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+5.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.39+3.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+7.59vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.88vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.87+6.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-2.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-1.63vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+3.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-1.86vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-4.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.19vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-5.72vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.28-4.69vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-7.14vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.48-7.39vs Predicted
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20Tufts University0.84-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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12.59Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.05Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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6.39Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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9.37Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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15.02Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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15.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.31Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University1.480.0%1st Place
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14.49Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 20.7% |
| Connor Macken | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Andy Yu | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 24.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.