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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+8.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+4.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+6.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+4.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.61+5.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.87-0.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+5.80vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27+1.84vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.82+2.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.15+0.43vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.26-5.13vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.01-5.47vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-8.79vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.56vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.82+1.09vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.68-7.93vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.17-6.85vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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13.8Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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13.62Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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18.09Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.15Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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17.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robby Meek | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 48.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 27.1% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.