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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.70vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+5.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.17+9.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+8.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+0.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+3.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.01+1.95vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+1.27vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68+0.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.63-3.88vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27+0.05vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-4.57vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.55-7.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-6.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-2.12vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.61-6.82vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.82-4.34vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.93vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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12.28Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.68Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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12.05Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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13.88Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.66Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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18.07Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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17.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Robby Meek | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 4.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 21.4% | 49.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 28.3% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.