Race 2B

little-three

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 18.8% 20.9% 20.3% 16.6% 13.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Maddy Saffer 40.6% 28.3% 16.8% 8.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Augspurger 8.0% 8.8% 12.2% 15.1% 15.2% 13.5% 12.1% 9.2% 4.8% 1.2%
Ella Towner 15.0% 17.2% 18.1% 18.8% 13.6% 8.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Adrian Whitney 2.5% 3.1% 5.7% 5.5% 9.6% 11.8% 15.3% 15.0% 18.6% 12.8%
Rem Johannknecht 5.3% 8.3% 9.8% 12.5% 13.6% 14.6% 15.2% 10.9% 6.2% 3.5%
Nick Brodie 2.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.9% 9.2% 13.0% 13.2% 14.8% 18.1% 13.2%
Aidan Ulian 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 7.0% 9.3% 11.8% 13.4% 17.6% 16.7% 13.5%
Clare Rados 2.9% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 8.0% 11.8% 12.9% 16.7% 17.4% 15.2%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 5.3% 6.9% 9.2% 12.2% 17.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.