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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+7.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+9.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+7.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+8.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+3.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.55+0.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.87-1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+1.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.26-1.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61+0.37vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-2.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-3.17vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.17-0.43vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-8.86vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.79-6.50vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.65vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.77-4.13vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.60vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-0.82-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.57Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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13.59Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.87Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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17.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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18.19Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 4.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 27.6% | 33.6% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 20.9% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.