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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.61+9.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+4.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+6.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+8.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.56vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01+2.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+2.00vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-2.83vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.55-2.68vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-0.41vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.48vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.82+1.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.27-0.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.17-1.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-4.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-7.78vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.13-8.96vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.77-4.22vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.89vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.59Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.84Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.13Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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13.78Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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18.11Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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17.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 3.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 21.1% | 50.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 27.1% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.