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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+3.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.61+7.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26+1.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.55-0.36vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-0.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.81vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-1.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.68-1.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.17-0.48vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.82-0.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.01-6.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.27-4.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.40vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.79-8.37vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.91vs Predicted
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20Boston University0.72-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.52Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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13.54Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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17.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.63Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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18.09Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.1Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Jack Roman | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 26.6% | 34.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 21.0% | 49.8% |
| William Wiegand | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.