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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+6.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+5.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+2.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61+3.55vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.17+4.04vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.82+4.56vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.28vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.55-4.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-3.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.27-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.15-1.77vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-1.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.59vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.79-7.62vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.68-9.03vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.04Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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13.56Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.14Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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13.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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18.12Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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17.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 14.3% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| William Wiegand | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Adams | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 21.5% | 50.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.