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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.26+6.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+9.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.86+9.34vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.68+4.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+1.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.55-1.87vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.87-3.94vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.01-1.60vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.82+2.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.61-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.15-0.60vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.59vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.79-5.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-2.19vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.63-11.17vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-0.33vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.17-7.01vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.34Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.56Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.59Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.81Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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17.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.99Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 52.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.