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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.55+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+8.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.86+8.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.90vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68+3.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.79+1.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-3.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.26-2.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.61-0.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-3.37vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-1.34vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.61vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-8.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.54vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.17-5.91vs Predicted
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19Boston University0.72-5.18vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University0.82-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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13.22Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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12.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.84Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.66Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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17.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.09Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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13.82Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.61Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Emma Wang | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Roman | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 50.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| William Wiegand | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.