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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+9.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+4.60vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+3.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63+0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.16vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.82+5.31vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52+5.68vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61+0.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.77+2.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.13-3.88vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.68-2.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.17-2.04vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.72vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.79-6.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-7.77vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-0.36vs Predicted
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19Tufts University0.86-5.79vs Predicted
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20Boston College2.26-12.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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13.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.31Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.68Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.72Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.96Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.3Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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17.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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13.21Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 51.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.