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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.55+5.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+9.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+3.40vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+0.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.61+4.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+2.68vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.79+1.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01-0.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-2.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-2.45vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.17+0.29vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.98vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.86-0.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.71vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.68-6.24vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.33vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.77-4.23vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.48vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University0.82-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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9.13Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.29Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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14.98Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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13.33Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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11.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.76Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.77Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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17.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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13.64Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Roman | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 13.3% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 49.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.