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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+6.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+4.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+5.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+5.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.61+4.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68+3.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01+0.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.26-1.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.86vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-1.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.17+0.30vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.87-7.60vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.74vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-9.00vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.77-3.43vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.82-4.38vs Predicted
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19Tufts University0.86-5.59vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.45Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.3Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.64Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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13.57Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.62Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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13.41Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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17.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Robby Meek | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 12.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.