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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+9.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61+3.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-2.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.17+2.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-2.07vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-1.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.86+1.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.68-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.15-1.90vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.77-1.38vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.82-2.53vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.01-8.74vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.55vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.52-4.40vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.27Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.96Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.38Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.51Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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13.62Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.47Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.6Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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17.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Olin Guck | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Jack Roman | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| James Jagielski | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 11.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.