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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+4.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+4.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+0.82vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.91+9.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.52+0.46vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.34+0.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71+0.07vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.84+1.37vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.15+2.41vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-4.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-4.86vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.64+0.48vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.89-4.01vs Predicted
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16Ohio State University0.69+0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.25-3.80vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.86-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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3.82Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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13.88Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.41Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.14Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.48Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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16.57Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.8% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 10.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 24.8% | 14.1% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Anthony Julian | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 58.2% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.