Race 3B

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 19.4% 21.4% 19.4% 16.7% 12.0% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Maddy Saffer 39.4% 27.2% 18.3% 10.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Towner 16.8% 17.0% 19.2% 16.9% 13.5% 8.9% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Grace Augspurger 7.1% 9.8% 12.0% 13.0% 15.7% 15.6% 12.8% 8.0% 4.3% 1.8%
Adrian Whitney 2.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.8% 11.0% 11.9% 17.7% 16.5% 14.2%
Clare Rados 2.4% 3.4% 4.2% 7.6% 8.9% 11.6% 13.9% 15.8% 16.1% 16.2%
Aidan Ulian 2.3% 3.8% 4.6% 6.2% 9.8% 11.2% 14.0% 16.1% 17.4% 14.6%
Nick Brodie 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 7.4% 10.5% 10.6% 14.5% 15.5% 17.0% 13.1%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.4% 10.7% 12.2% 19.3% 37.2%
Rem Johannknecht 6.3% 7.2% 9.5% 11.7% 13.2% 15.6% 14.6% 11.2% 8.2% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.