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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+7.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+2.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.84vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.17vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-1.47vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-5.91vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-7.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-0.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-4.11vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.32-1.68vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-3.05-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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14.44University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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15.32Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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17.73Maine Maritime Academy-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 26.0% | 28.9% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 18.4% | 47.9% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 4.8% | 91.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.