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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+5.44vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.49+6.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+3.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-1.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08+5.45vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.32+5.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.07vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-4.45vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.46-6.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-2.46vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-4.67vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-8.65vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-7.14vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-3.05-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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14.45University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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15.35Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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17.76Maine Maritime Academy-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 27.2% | 29.8% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 49.9% | 4.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 92.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.