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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62+5.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+3.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-0.24vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07-0.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+0.58vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.49-0.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-4.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08+0.25vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.46-8.44vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.32-0.71vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-4.96vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-3.05-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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14.25University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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15.29Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.04Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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17.73Maine Maritime Academy-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 24.9% | 27.9% | 2.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 48.0% | 5.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Evans | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 90.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.